大洋洲研究中心副主许少民在《东南亚研究》杂志发表合作论文

中山大学大洋洲研究中心副主任许少民副教授与悉尼科技大学澳中关系研究院客座研究员马必胜（Mark Beeson）合作在国内主流杂志《东南亚研究》2026年第2期发表题为“重审AUKUS：从核潜艇项目到军事同盟的扩大化”的学术论文。论文摘要如下：

“澳英美三边安全伙伴关系”（AUKUS）被视为澳英美三国“承前启后”的创举，旨在整合国家安全战略、战略性产业政策和自由市场要素，矛头直指中国。自2021年宣布成立以来，AUKUS历经澳英美三国至少各两任政府的考验，特别是在特朗普政府第二任期的审查中涉险过关，展示出了它的韧性。本文遵循学理性和政策性并重、理论视野和经验研究有机融合的思路，重新审视AUKUS的民意基础、同盟底色、扩员前景及其战略影响。通过爬梳AUKUS第一支柱“稳中有进”和“进中有变”的发展历程，可以发现“军工学复合体”是支撑AUKUS发展的强大政策联盟，反映出以美国为核心的同盟体系正在贯彻落实针对中国的“军事化的新自由主义”意识形态。本文进而揭示AUKUS的军事同盟本质，分析其运作机理，特别是AUKUS正在倒逼美澳同盟转型升级，进一步夯实针对中国的集体威慑能力。文章最后指出，要高度警惕AUKUS第二支柱甚至第一支柱扩员的强劲势头。长期来看，AUKUS同盟的扩大化恐将给中国带来严峻复杂的安全挑战。

Abstract: The trilateral security partnership, namely AUKUS, has been touted as a “game changer” for Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States. Characterized by a combination of elements including security policy, strategic industrial policy and market freedom, AUKUS is dedicated to counteracting China’s rising military prowess and technological influence. This paper provides Chinese readers with an explanation of the scale, scope and significance of AUKUS by bringing theoretical insights and analytical rigor to bear on such policy-informed studies. In so doing, this paper firstly explains the development process of AUKUS against the odds, and reveals the rising prominence of “military-industry-university complex” in successfully consolidating the AUKUS architecture behind the scenes, despite a rising tide of anti-AUKUS opinion in Australia. This paper also brings “militarised neoliberalism” into sharp relief by unpacking the emergence of such a complex in the era of great power strategic competition. Further, this paper argues that AUKUS is essentially an emerging military alliance, which serves as a catalyst to further institutionalize the US-Australia alliance, and incentivizes both South Korea and Japan to become part of the AUKUS defense supply chain or value chain in response to China’s rise. Above all, the picture of turning the AUKUS into a defense pact in the Indo-Pacific seems to loom large in the long run, and potentially significantly complicates China’s strategic environment.